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Highest temperature in Moscow on June 11?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Moscow on June 11?

Volume:
$57,394

31°C

 - Polymarket

31°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

31°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,991
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,441
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,769
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,375
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,021
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,673
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature recorded in Moscow on June 11, 2026, on Polymarket. It displays the current implied probability of each temperature outcome, 24-hour trading volume of $46,672, and historical price movements. Users can monitor how market participants are pricing different temperature ranges as the event date approaches, providing a live snapshot of crowd expectations for Moscow's peak temperature on that specific day.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs and often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts. While weather analysts rely on atmospheric models and historical climate data to project June temperatures in Moscow, prediction markets incorporate real-time information, trader conviction, and market dynamics. Comparing the market's implied temperature range to official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center or international weather services can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic scenarios than expert models suggest.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced through outcome shares representing different temperature ranges or specific degree thresholds for Moscow's high on June 11. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to their belief about which temperature band will occur, with prices reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. The market uses an automated market maker or order-book mechanism to determine real-time odds, allowing continuous price discovery as new information and trader sentiment evolve leading up to resolution.

The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after the highest temperature in Moscow on June 11, 2026, has been recorded and verified. Resolution is determined by official meteorological data for that date, typically sourced from Russia's national weather service or recognized climate monitoring stations in Moscow. The outcome is objective and based on actual recorded temperature measurements, ensuring a clear and verifiable settlement once the event concludes.

Temperature expectations for Moscow on June 11 may shift based on seasonal weather pattern updates, long-range forecasts from meteorological agencies, and anomalies in spring and early-summer climate trends. Major atmospheric events such as heat waves affecting Eastern Europe, changes in jet stream positioning, or unusual solar activity could influence trader sentiment. As June approaches, updated 10-day and medium-range forecasts will provide more precise temperature predictions, likely triggering significant market repricing as the event date draws nearer.