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Highest temperature in Moscow on June 10?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Moscow on June 10?

Volume:
$36,184

30°C

 - Polymarket

30°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

30°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,584
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,199
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Highest temperature in Moscow on June 10 dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this weather event. You can monitor the current implied probability of each temperature outcome, view $27,893 in 24-hour trading volume, and observe how market sentiment shifts as June 10 approaches. The dashboard displays live order books, recent trades, and cumulative liquidity, helping traders gauge market conviction around Moscow's peak temperature on that specific date.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Highest temperature in Moscow on June 10 is priced as a set of outcome contracts, each representing a specific temperature range or exact value. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to their belief about which outcome will occur. The price of each contract reflects the market's implied probability, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. Liquidity and trading volume on each outcome determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at competitive rates.

The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, after June 10 concludes in Moscow. The outcome is determined by the highest temperature recorded in Moscow on that calendar day. Official meteorological data from recognized weather stations or government sources in Moscow will serve as the reference point. Once the day ends and the final temperature is confirmed, the market settles to the corresponding outcome contract, and traders receive payouts based on their positions.

Several factors can shift odds before resolution. Updated seasonal weather forecasts from meteorological agencies may signal warmer or cooler conditions. Large-scale atmospheric patterns, such as high-pressure systems or cold fronts approaching Eastern Europe, influence Moscow's temperature. Real-time weather data closer to June 10 will refine expectations. Unusual climate events or anomalies in the weeks leading up to the date can also move markets. Traders monitor long-range forecasts and adjust positions as new information emerges.