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Highest temperature in Moscow on June 1?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Moscow on June 1?

Volume:
$45,560

20°C or higher

 - Polymarket

20°C or higher - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

20°C or higher

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,896
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,760
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,566
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Highest temperature in Moscow on June 1 is priced on Polymarket through outcome contracts that reflect trader conviction about the final temperature reading. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each temperature range or specific threshold trades at a price between 0 and 1, where higher prices indicate stronger market belief. Liquidity and spreads vary by outcome; popular ranges typically tighten while extreme temperatures may have wider bid-ask gaps. Monitor order-book depth and recent trades to gauge execution costs and market confidence in each temperature bracket.

The Highest temperature in Moscow on June 1 market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after the trading day closes and the final temperature data is recorded. Resolution hinges on the official high temperature reported for Moscow on that date. The exact measurement source and rounding methodology are specified in the market's terms; traders should review these details before committing capital. Once the authoritative reading is confirmed, the market settles and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome.

Several factors can shift odds for Moscow's June 1 high temperature. Major weather pattern changes—such as high-pressure systems, cold fronts, or unusual jet-stream positioning—will influence trader expectations. Updated seasonal forecasts and medium-range weather models (5–10 day outlooks) often trigger repricing as resolution approaches. Urban heat effects, cloud cover, and wind patterns specific to Moscow also matter. Real-time meteorological updates and anomalies in late May will likely drive trading volume and price movement as traders refine their temperature predictions closer to the event date.