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$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

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30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 9, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 9, 2026?

Volume:
$37,685

80° to 81°

 - Kalshi

80° to 81° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,432
N/A
N/A
$7,851
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,320
N/A
N/A
$6,734
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,620
N/A
N/A
$5,857
Settled
No
kalshi

84° or above

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,844
N/A
N/A
$3,922
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,581
N/A
N/A
$1,546
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$888
N/A
N/A
$888
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climate forecasting accuracy for that exact day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on September 9, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 75°F or below, 76°F to 77°F, 78°F to 79°F, 80°F to 81°F, 82°F to 83°F, or 84°F or above. The market associated with the actual recorded temperature range will resolve to Yes, while all others resolve to No. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected value is released or the expiration date is reached. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The status of 'Final' on The Weather Company's platform is provided for convenience but does not guarantee immunity from potential revisions under these rules.