TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climate forecasting accuracy for that exact day.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on September 9, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 75°F or below, 76°F to 77°F, 78°F to 79°F, 80°F to 81°F, 82°F to 83°F, or 84°F or above. The market associated with the actual recorded temperature range will resolve to Yes, while all others resolve to No. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected value is released or the expiration date is reached. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The status of 'Final' on The Weather Company's platform is provided for convenience but does not guarantee immunity from potential revisions under these rules.