TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 7, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 7, 2026?

Volume:
$24,337

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,044
N/A
N/A
$3,744
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,767
N/A
N/A
$4,108
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,676
N/A
N/A
$3,828
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,130
N/A
N/A
$2,007
Settled
No
kalshi

78° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,245
N/A
N/A
$923
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
$465
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Minneapolis on a particular future date. Participants can evaluate historical climate patterns and seasonal forecasts to gauge probable weather conditions. The outcome hinges on official temperature recordings from a designated weather service.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the maximum temperature in Minneapolis on October 7, 2026, falls within one of six specified ranges, each corresponding to a separate market. The Weather Company serves as the sole source for official temperature data. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. If preliminary data appears erroneous, the exchange may delay resolution until corrected data is published or until the expiration date. Should no data remain available by the expiration date, markets resolve based on the last fair price established by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not exempt the data from potential revision or error correction under these rules.