TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 6, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 6, 2026?

Volume:
$49,591

81° to 82°

 - Kalshi

81° to 82° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° to 82°

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,485
N/A
N/A
$6,359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,372
N/A
N/A
$6,863
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,105
N/A
N/A
$6,190
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,931
N/A
N/A
$2,474
Settled
No
kalshi

85° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,807
N/A
N/A
$2,465
Settled
No
kalshi

76° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,890
N/A
N/A
$1,304
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Minneapolis on October 6, 2026. Outcomes depend on the actual high temperature recorded that day, categorized into distinct bands from cooler to significantly warmer conditions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: less than 77°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, or greater than 84°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion discrepancies, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The “Final” status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.