TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$31,675

68° to 69°

 - Kalshi

68° to 69° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,521
N/A
N/A
$3,937
Settled
Yes
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,482
N/A
N/A
$4,963
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,326
N/A
N/A
$4,037
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,240
N/A
N/A
$2,591
Settled
No
kalshi

65° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,448
N/A
N/A
$1,861
Settled
No
kalshi

74° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,658
N/A
N/A
$1,658
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climate forecasting accuracy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 65°F or below, 66°F-67°F, 68°F-69°F, 70°F-71°F, 72°F-73°F, or 74°F and above. The market associated with the actual recorded temperature range will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and The Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The status of 'Final' on The Weather Company's platform is for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.