TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climate forecasting accuracy.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 65°F or below, 66°F-67°F, 68°F-69°F, 70°F-71°F, 72°F-73°F, or 74°F and above. The market associated with the actual recorded temperature range will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and The Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The status of 'Final' on The Weather Company's platform is for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.