TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$15,453

68° to 69°

 - Kalshi

68° to 69° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,055
N/A
N/A
$3,480
Settled
Yes
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,146
N/A
N/A
$2,448
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,625
N/A
N/A
$1,830
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,226
N/A
N/A
$1,836
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,127
N/A
N/A
$826
Settled
No
kalshi

63° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$273
N/A
N/A
$273
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict the outcome based on historical trends and seasonal forecasts.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the maximum temperature in Minneapolis on October 4, 2026, falls within specific Fahrenheit ranges, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature band, with the highest temperature determining the resolving market. All markets share consistent secondary rules: The Weather Company is the exclusive source for official data, despite potential discrepancies with other services. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, requiring caution in interpretation. The exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if a material error is identified in initial publications, extending until a corrected revision or the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price set by Kalshi. A "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.