TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 26, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 26, 2026?

Volume:
$143,029

48° to 49°

 - Kalshi

48° to 49° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

48° to 49°

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,318
N/A
N/A
$6,930
Settled
Yes
kalshi

47° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124,248
N/A
N/A
$122,958
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,138
N/A
N/A
$3,846
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,341
N/A
N/A
$1,110
Settled
No
kalshi

56° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$705
N/A
N/A
$705
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
$265
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

Minneapolis will record its highest temperature on October 26, 2026, with outcomes determined by whether this temperature meets specific numerical thresholds. Predictions will consider typical autumn climate conditions for the region.

Kalshi

Similar to the New Orleans event, multiple Minneapolis markets each correspond to distinct temperature bands (e.g., 47°F or below, 48-49°F, etc.), all resolved solely by The Weather Company’s reported maximum. The structure mirrors New Orleans: identical secondary rules apply regarding preliminary data caution, potential Exchange intervention for material errors, and fallback to last fair price if data remains unavailable. The final market triggers at temperatures above 55°F. Again, a "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is strictly informational and does not exempt data from scrutiny under these rules.