TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume:
$41,011

81° to 82°

 - Kalshi

81° to 82° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° to 82°

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,938
N/A
N/A
$5,389
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° or below

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,512
N/A
N/A
$12,212
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,960
N/A
N/A
$4,849
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,978
N/A
N/A
$1,449
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,012
N/A
N/A
$993
Settled
No
kalshi

89° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
$596
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Minneapolis on a specific future date. The outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting anticipated climate conditions for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 80° or below, 81-82°, 83-84°, 85-86°, 87-88°, or above 88°. If the recorded temperature falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial data publication, allowing time for a corrected version. Should no data become available by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary data may differ from final reported values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. The status of 'Final' on The Weather Company's platform is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.