TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 11, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 11, 2026?

Volume:
$29,398

89° to 90°

 - Kalshi

89° to 90° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° to 90°

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,726
N/A
N/A
$5,247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,474
N/A
N/A
$5,117
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,699
N/A
N/A
$2,862
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,994
N/A
N/A
$2,781
Settled
No
kalshi

84° or below

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,711
N/A
N/A
$1,920
Settled
No
kalshi

93° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$795
N/A
N/A
$785
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Minneapolis on October 11, 2026. Participants can bet on whether the day's peak temperature will fall within particular degree brackets, providing insight into expected weather conditions for that date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at the Minneapolis (CLIMSP) location on October 11, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 84°F or below, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, 91-92°F, or above 92°F. The official data source is The Weather Company, and while other weather services may show similar information, they are not used for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initially published data, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no valid data is available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments due to errors.