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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jun 3, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jun 3, 2026?

Volume:
$16,918

85° to 86°

 - Kalshi

85° to 86° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 2:00 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

85° to 86°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,758
N/A
N/A
$3,344
Settled
Yes
kalshi

83° to 84°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,853
N/A
N/A
$2,883
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,974
N/A
N/A
$2,052
Settled
No
kalshi

89° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,980
N/A
N/A
$1,931
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,485
N/A
N/A
$1,370
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$868
N/A
N/A
$717
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The daytime high temperature in Minneapolis on June 3, 2026, will be recorded by the National Weather Service.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-time trader expectations and aggregate dispersed information about Minneapolis weather on June 3, 2026. Traditional meteorological forecasts from the National Weather Service and other analysts typically rely on deterministic models and historical climate data. Markets often incorporate broader uncertainty and tail-risk scenarios that formal forecasts may underweight. Comparing market-implied probabilities to seasonal normals and ensemble weather models can reveal whether traders are pricing in unusual atmospheric patterns or consensus conditions for early June in Minneapolis.

The market resolves on Jun 4, 2026, after the highest temperature for June 3, 2026, in Minneapolis is officially recorded. Resolution is determined by the actual daily high temperature reported by the relevant meteorological authority for that date and location. Once the official reading is confirmed, the contract settles based on whether the observed temperature falls into the specified outcome range, and trader positions are paid out accordingly.

Several factors could shift market odds for Minneapolis's June 3 high temperature. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in jet stream positioning or development of high-pressure systems, would move prices significantly. Updated extended-range forecasts from meteorological centers typically influence trader positioning. Seasonal climate anomalies, such as early heat waves or cooler-than-normal patterns, could alter expectations. Real-time weather model updates in the days leading up to June 3 will drive the most dramatic repricing as uncertainty narrows and forecasts become more precise.