TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 31, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 31, 2026?

Volume:
$59,155

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,743
N/A
N/A
$5,867
Settled
Yes
kalshi

74° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,323
N/A
N/A
$43,875
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,422
N/A
N/A
$2,653
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,382
N/A
N/A
$1,102
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$948
N/A
N/A
$852
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$338
N/A
N/A
$269
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in 2026. Outcomes depend on where the actual temperature falls within predefined ranges, using official government data as the sole source for verification.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on July 31, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 75°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, or above 82°F. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available from the specified URL. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so only the final NWS report determines resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to Yes depending on where the actual temperature falls within these ranges.