TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 29, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 29, 2026?

Volume:
$29,011

91° to 92°

 - Kalshi

91° to 92° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

91° to 92°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,040
N/A
N/A
$4,412
Settled
Yes
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,731
N/A
N/A
$8,491
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,411
N/A
N/A
$2,365
Settled
No
kalshi

93° to 94°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,107
N/A
N/A
$2,655
Settled
No
kalshi

97° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,592
N/A
N/A
$2,345
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,131
N/A
N/A
$794
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends on how warm it gets compared to predefined temperature ranges, helping participants assess climate expectations for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on July 29, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 88° or below, 89-90°, 91-92°, 93-94°, 95-96°, or 97° and above. The official data must be accessed via the NWS Climate page for Minneapolis/St Paul, MN, using the Daily Climate Report for the exact date. Traders should rely only on the final NWS report, as preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies. All markets are evaluated against these same authoritative measurements, ensuring consistency across outcomes regardless of external weather sources.