TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 26, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 26, 2026?

Volume:
$23,137

98° to 99°

 - Kalshi

98° to 99° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

98° to 99°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,559
N/A
N/A
$3,769
Settled
Yes
kalshi

96° to 97°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,896
N/A
N/A
$5,656
Settled
No
kalshi

94° to 95°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,042
N/A
N/A
$2,171
Settled
No
kalshi

100° to 101°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,936
N/A
N/A
$2,231
Settled
No
kalshi

93° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,969
N/A
N/A
$1,198
Settled
No
kalshi

102° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,736
N/A
N/A
$1,537
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date in 2026. Outcomes depend on how the temperature compares to predefined thresholds, with each range representing a different possible resolution. The official data source ensures consistency and reliability for all participants.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on July 26, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 93°F or below, 94–95°F, 96–97°F, 98–99°F, 100–101°F, or above 101°F. The National Weather Service's report is the sole authority for determining the outcome, and traders must use the latest version available from the specified URL. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised when interpreting such sources. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, meaning exactly one will resolve to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these ranges.