TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 23, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 23, 2026?

Volume:
$35,918

81° or below

 - Kalshi

81° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,673
N/A
N/A
$14,765
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,555
N/A
N/A
$7,625
Settled
No
kalshi

90° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,885
N/A
N/A
$1,885
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,290
N/A
N/A
$1,143
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
$312
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the definitive source. Participants assess temperature probabilities based on historical trends and forecasts, with outcomes determined after the date passes.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on July 23, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 81° or below, 82-83°, 84-85°, 86-87°, 88-89°, or 90° and above. The market for the exact range in which the recorded temperature falls will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. Traders must reference the official NWS data available at the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Minneapolis/St Paul, MN' with the Daily Climate Report. It is critical to use the latest version of the data once available, as different cities may update at varying frequencies. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary guidance, they are not authoritative; only the NWS report determines the outcome. Participants should also remain alert to any potential rounding or conversion nuances in preliminary NWS reporting, exercising caution when interpreting early data.