TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the definitive source. Participants assess temperature probabilities based on historical trends and forecasts, with outcomes determined after the date passes.
All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on July 23, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 81° or below, 82-83°, 84-85°, 86-87°, 88-89°, or 90° and above. The market for the exact range in which the recorded temperature falls will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. Traders must reference the official NWS data available at the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Minneapolis/St Paul, MN' with the Daily Climate Report. It is critical to use the latest version of the data once available, as different cities may update at varying frequencies. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary guidance, they are not authoritative; only the NWS report determines the outcome. Participants should also remain alert to any potential rounding or conversion nuances in preliminary NWS reporting, exercising caution when interpreting early data.