TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 21, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 21, 2026?

Volume:
$21,765

80° to 81°

 - Kalshi

80° to 81° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,385
N/A
N/A
$4,402
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,948
N/A
N/A
$5,179
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,681
N/A
N/A
$3,167
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,686
N/A
N/A
$1,340
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$551
N/A
N/A
$473
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$514
N/A
N/A
$485
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market predicts the highest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on July 21, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service Climatological Report (Daily) for that date, which provides the authoritative maximum temperature measurement for the location.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis/St Paul, MN on July 21, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed through the NWS regional climate portal. Temperature ranges are divided into six bands: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, and 88°F or above. Each temperature range corresponds to a distinct market outcome. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official report should be used for resolution rather than preliminary estimates or third-party weather services.