TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 12, 2026?

Volume:
$21,099

90° or below

 - Kalshi

90° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

90° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,154
N/A
N/A
$3,087
Settled
Yes
kalshi

93° to 94°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,844
N/A
N/A
$4,699
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,888
N/A
N/A
$3,074
Settled
No
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,646
N/A
N/A
$1,750
Settled
No
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,023
N/A
N/A
$887
Settled
No
kalshi

99° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$544
N/A
N/A
$530
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event forecasts the peak temperature in Minneapolis on July 12, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for that date, which records the highest temperature reached in the Minneapolis/St Paul area.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis on July 12, 2026, according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Minneapolis/St Paul, MN. The temperature is divided into six distinct ranges: 90°F or below, 91-92°F, 93-94°F, 95-96°F, 97-98°F, and 99°F or above. Each range corresponds to a separate market outcome that resolves to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within that bracket. Official data must be obtained from the NWS Climatological Report accessed through the specified URL and location selection, not from preliminary reports or alternative weather sources. Traders should be aware that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances that could affect final resolution.