TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Minneapolis on a specific date in 2026. The outcome depends on official weather service data, ensuring consistency and reliability for all participants. It reflects real-world climate monitoring and forecasting challenges.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 9, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or 88°F and above. The official NWS data takes precedence over any other weather sources, and traders must use the latest available report for the date. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, participants should exercise caution when interpreting early reports. The secondary rules provide a consistent methodology for accessing the official data via the NWS website, ensuring transparency and uniformity in determining outcomes.