TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 9, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 9, 2026?

Volume:
$39,780

86° to 87°

 - Kalshi

86° to 87° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

86° to 87°

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,116
N/A
N/A
$5,775
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,345
N/A
N/A
$5,685
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,216
N/A
N/A
$3,326
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,192
N/A
N/A
$3,705
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,338
N/A
N/A
$1,910
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,572
N/A
N/A
$1,093
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Minneapolis on a specific date in 2026. The outcome depends on official weather service data, ensuring consistency and reliability for all participants. It reflects real-world climate monitoring and forecasting challenges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 9, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or 88°F and above. The official NWS data takes precedence over any other weather sources, and traders must use the latest available report for the date. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, participants should exercise caution when interpreting early reports. The secondary rules provide a consistent methodology for accessing the official data via the NWS website, ensuring transparency and uniformity in determining outcomes.