TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 8, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 8, 2026?

Volume:
$37,290

81° or below

 - Kalshi

81° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° or below

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,658
N/A
N/A
$11,008
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,173
N/A
N/A
$2,809
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,668
N/A
N/A
$3,193
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,869
N/A
N/A
$2,026
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,101
N/A
N/A
$797
Settled
No
kalshi

90° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$821
N/A
N/A
$771
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the definitive source. Participants assess temperature ranges based on historical climate patterns and seasonal forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the recorded maximum temperature for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 8, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 81° or below, 82-83°, 84-85°, 86-87°, 88-89°, or 90° and above. The official NWS data takes precedence over any other weather sources, and traders must use the latest available report for the date. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary data, caution is advised when interpreting early reports. The secondary rules provide a consistent methodology for accessing the official data through the NWS website, ensuring transparency and uniformity in determining outcomes.