TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 7, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 7, 2026?

Volume:
$39,726

80° to 81°

 - Kalshi

80° to 81° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,072
N/A
N/A
$5,362
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° or below

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,677
N/A
N/A
$7,858
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,623
N/A
N/A
$2,782
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,653
N/A
N/A
$2,448
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,905
N/A
N/A
$1,561
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$796
N/A
N/A
$755
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Minneapolis on a specific date in 2026. Outcomes depend on how the temperature compares to predefined ranges, with data sourced from an official government weather report. The event helps assess climate expectations for that exact day.

Kalshi

All outcomes are determined exclusively by the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 7, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 80°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or above 87°F. The official NWS report is the sole source of truth, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. Preliminary or third-party weather data should not be used, as NWS reports may include rounding or conversion nuances that affect outcome determination. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with only one resolving to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within the defined ranges.