TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 6, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 6, 2026?

Volume:
$20,343

82° to 83°

 - Kalshi

82° to 83° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,290
N/A
N/A
$5,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,308
N/A
N/A
$3,529
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or below

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,231
N/A
N/A
$1,972
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,552
N/A
N/A
$1,947
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$538
N/A
N/A
$497
Settled
No
kalshi

90° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
$414
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts to determine the likelihood of various temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 6, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 81° or below, 82-83°, 84-85°, 86-87°, 88-89°, or 90° and above. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available from the specified URL. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences, so only the final NWS report determines outcomes. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these defined ranges.