TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 5, 2026?

Volume:
$33,961

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,867
N/A
N/A
$8,526
Settled
Yes
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,909
N/A
N/A
$4,073
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,314
N/A
N/A
$3,172
Settled
No
kalshi

74° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,065
N/A
N/A
$3,065
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,261
N/A
N/A
$1,101
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
$513
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess whether conditions will fall within certain temperature ranges based on recorded weather reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 5, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome is determined by which temperature range—defined in degrees Fahrenheit—the actual high falls into, with specific brackets covering intervals from below 75°F up to above 82°F. Participants must rely exclusively on the NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather sources may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting timing variances. The latest available NWS report for the date will be used as the definitive record, and traders should be aware that official updates may occur after initial data releases.