TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 2, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 2, 2026?

Volume:
$22,044

84° to 85°

 - Kalshi

84° to 85° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° to 85°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,096
N/A
N/A
$5,626
Settled
Yes
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,576
N/A
N/A
$3,514
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,779
N/A
N/A
$2,737
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,850
N/A
N/A
$1,353
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,125
N/A
N/A
$1,091
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
$546
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess whether the temperature will fall within certain ranges based on recorded measurements from trusted meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 2, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 80°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or above 87°F. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available for the date. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so only the final NWS report determines outcomes. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these defined brackets.