TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 19, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 19, 2026?

Volume:
$28,706

82° to 83°

 - Kalshi

82° to 83° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,854
N/A
N/A
$6,830
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,227
N/A
N/A
$5,784
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,515
N/A
N/A
$2,337
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,143
N/A
N/A
$2,584
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or below

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,605
N/A
N/A
$1,500
Settled
No
kalshi

86° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,362
N/A
N/A
$1,224
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future. It categorizes possible temperature outcomes into distinct ranges, each corresponding to a different market resolution. The official data source for determining the outcome is The Weather Company's recorded maximum temperature for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 19, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the temperature falls within the range of 77°F or below, the '77° or below' market resolves positively. Temperatures between 78°F and 79°F resolve the '78° to 79°' market, while ranges of 80°F to 81°F, 82°F to 83°F, and 84°F to 85°F resolve their respective markets. Any temperature above 85°F triggers the '86° or above' market. All markets use The Weather Company as the sole, authoritative source for temperature data, ensuring consistency and eliminating ambiguity from differing weather reports. Secondary rules emphasize that while other weather services may be used for reference, only The Weather Company's data is binding for resolution.