TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 10, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 10, 2026?

Volume:
$22,711

85° to 86°

 - Kalshi

85° to 86° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

85° to 86°

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,968
N/A
N/A
$4,534
Settled
Yes
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,177
N/A
N/A
$2,926
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,921
N/A
N/A
$1,647
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,727
N/A
N/A
$2,123
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or below

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,123
N/A
N/A
$1,384
Settled
No
kalshi

91° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$795
N/A
N/A
$692
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Minneapolis on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the definitive source. Participants assess weather conditions based on verified meteorological reports rather than real-time or third-party forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Minneapolis on August 10, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 83°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, or above 90°F. The National Weather Service's report is the exclusive authority for determining outcomes, and traders must use the latest version of the data available from the specified URL. Preliminary or third-party weather data sources are not considered valid for resolution purposes. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, requiring careful interpretation of the final reported value to ensure accurate market resolution.