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Highest temperature in Milan on June 27?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Milan on June 27?

Volume:
$63,160

36°C

 - Polymarket

36°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

36°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

42°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

41°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,651
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

43°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,792
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Milan temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Milan on June 27. You can monitor the current price of the leading outcome, view 24-hour trading volume of $33,872, and observe how trader sentiment shifts as new weather data emerges. This dashboard displays the collective prediction of market participants betting on whether temperatures will reach specific thresholds, offering a dynamic alternative to traditional meteorological models for gauging expected conditions on that date.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregated judgment of traders with real money at stake, often incorporating the latest weather models and historical patterns faster than published analyst forecasts. While meteorologists issue point estimates and confidence intervals based on atmospheric science, this market distills those inputs—plus trader intuition and risk appetite—into a single probability. The two approaches are complementary: analysts provide the underlying science, while market odds reveal how much uncertainty traders perceive and what they're willing to wager on specific temperature outcomes.

This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once June 27 has passed and the actual highest temperature recorded in Milan can be verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the day's peak temperature, ensuring an objective and transparent settlement. Traders holding the correct position at resolution receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.

Major weather pattern shifts—such as a high-pressure system moving into Europe or an unexpected cold front—can significantly alter temperature expectations and shift market odds. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies, historical temperature records for late June in Milan, and real-time atmospheric data all influence trader positioning. As the event date approaches, each new weather model run or heat wave warning can trigger rapid repricing, making this market sensitive to both long-range climate signals and short-term meteorological developments.