TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets assesses the likelihood of various temperature ranges in Miami on a specific future date, using an authoritative weather data source. Participants can evaluate how probable different thermal conditions are for planning or speculative purposes.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 85°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, 91-92°F, or above 92°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution. Preliminary data may differ from final figures due to rounding or conversion issues, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data before expiration, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The “Final” status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.