TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 6, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 6, 2026?

Volume:
$121,342

89° to 90°

 - Kalshi

89° to 90° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° to 90°

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,231
N/A
N/A
$10,127
Settled
Yes
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,313
N/A
N/A
$46,676
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,248
N/A
N/A
$10,837
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,275
N/A
N/A
$10,722
Settled
No
kalshi

93° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,336
N/A
N/A
$6,047
Settled
No
kalshi

84° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,939
N/A
N/A
$1,849
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of various temperature ranges in Miami on a specific future date, using an authoritative weather data source. Participants can evaluate how probable different thermal conditions are for planning or speculative purposes.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 85°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, 91-92°F, or above 92°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution. Preliminary data may differ from final figures due to rounding or conversion issues, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data before expiration, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The “Final” status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.