TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$89,552

89° to 90°

 - Kalshi

89° to 90° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° to 90°

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,196
N/A
N/A
$13,447
Settled
Yes
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,824
N/A
N/A
$29,996
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,129
N/A
N/A
$9,214
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,706
N/A
N/A
$11,239
Settled
No
kalshi

93° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,544
N/A
N/A
$2,923
Settled
No
kalshi

84° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
$1,145
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict how hot it will be on that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that will resolve to 'Yes' if the recorded temperature falls within that range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, even if other sources report different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange determines there is a material error in the initially published data, the expiration may be delayed until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company’s platform is for convenience and does not guarantee immunity from errors or exemptions from these resolution procedures.