TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 29, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 29, 2026?

Volume:
$121,071

87° to 88°

 - Kalshi

87° to 88° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

87° to 88°

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,396
N/A
N/A
$15,059
Settled
Yes
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,161
N/A
N/A
$62,972
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,057
N/A
N/A
$14,328
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,938
N/A
N/A
$7,789
Settled
No
kalshi

91° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,428
N/A
N/A
$2,192
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,091
N/A
N/A
$2,090
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting Miami's peak temperature on a specific future date. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting how climate forecasts and real-time conditions might influence expectations for extreme heat events.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on October 29, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 82°F or below, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, or above 90°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, even if other services show different values. Preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion issues, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data before expiration, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date arrives. Should no data remain available by the expiration date, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The “Final” status on Weather Company platforms is informational only and does not shield against potential data revisions or errors.