TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 24, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 24, 2026?

Volume:
$114,110

84° to 85°

 - Kalshi

84° to 85° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° to 85°

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,730
N/A
N/A
$18,528
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,695
N/A
N/A
$32,059
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,201
N/A
N/A
$16,184
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,185
N/A
N/A
$17,012
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,703
N/A
N/A
$4,645
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,596
N/A
N/A
$2,510
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Miami on a particular future date. Each outcome corresponds to a defined temperature band, allowing participants to speculate on how hot it might get. The resolution hinges entirely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on October 24, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each outcome corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79° or below, 80-81°, 82-83°, 84-85°, 86-87°, or 88° and above. The Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if it identifies a material error in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected version is released or the expiration date arrives. Should final data remain unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. It is important to note that while other weather services may show similar data, only The Weather Company's report is authoritative for resolution purposes. Preliminary readings from The Weather Company may undergo revisions due to rounding or conversion discrepancies, and users should exercise caution when interpreting them before official confirmation.