TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting Miami's peak temperature on a specific future date, using a trusted weather data provider as the definitive source. Participants assess various temperature ranges to determine the likelihood of different heat levels occurring during that day.
All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) on October 19, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 80° or below, 81-82°, 83-84°, 85-86°, 87-88°, or above 88°. If the recorded temperature falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Exchange retains discretion to address material errors in initial data publications, potentially delaying resolution until a corrected value is released or the expiration date arrives. Should final data remain unavailable by expiration, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. While other weather sources may offer reference points, only The Weather Company's official reporting governs outcomes.