TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?

Volume:
$151,830

85° to 86°

 - Kalshi

85° to 86° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

85° to 86°

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,237
N/A
N/A
$12,725
Settled
Yes
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,535
N/A
N/A
$53,883
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,076
N/A
N/A
$20,301
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,123
N/A
N/A
$19,494
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,086
N/A
N/A
$14,050
Settled
No
kalshi

89° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,773
N/A
N/A
$2,664
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting Miami's peak temperature on a specific future date, using a trusted weather data provider as the definitive source. Participants assess various temperature ranges to determine the likelihood of different heat levels occurring during that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) on October 19, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 80° or below, 81-82°, 83-84°, 85-86°, 87-88°, or above 88°. If the recorded temperature falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Exchange retains discretion to address material errors in initial data publications, potentially delaying resolution until a corrected value is released or the expiration date arrives. Should final data remain unavailable by expiration, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. While other weather sources may offer reference points, only The Weather Company's official reporting governs outcomes.