TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 17, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 17, 2026?

Volume:
$243,899

90° to 91°

 - Kalshi

90° to 91° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

90° to 91°

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75,833
N/A
N/A
$58,928
Settled
Yes
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,734
N/A
N/A
$68,230
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,133
N/A
N/A
$28,689
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,301
N/A
N/A
$20,374
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,291
N/A
N/A
$13,212
Settled
No
kalshi

92° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,608
N/A
N/A
$8,161
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Miami on October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature band, allowing participants to evaluate the probability of the day's peak temperature falling within any given range.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) on October 17, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 83° or below, 84-85°, 86-87°, 88-89°, 90-91°, and 92° or above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any discrepancies or errors in preliminary reports may delay resolution until corrected or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. It is important to note that while other weather services may provide similar data, they are not used for official resolution.