TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Miami on a particular future date. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature band, allowing participants to speculate on how hot it might get. The outcome hinges entirely on official weather data from a designated source.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on November 1, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 78°F or below, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, or above 86°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, and users should be aware that preliminary readings may differ from final reported values due to rounding or conversion discrepancies. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. In cases where data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.