TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Nov 1, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Nov 1, 2026?

Volume:
$136,185

81° to 82°

 - Kalshi

81° to 82° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° to 82°

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,921
N/A
N/A
$19,706
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,973
N/A
N/A
$75,361
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,292
N/A
N/A
$12,438
Settled
No
kalshi

78° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,211
N/A
N/A
$9,211
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,770
N/A
N/A
$4,427
Settled
No
kalshi

87° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,018
N/A
N/A
$2,751
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Miami on a particular future date. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature band, allowing participants to speculate on how hot it might get. The outcome hinges entirely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on November 1, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 78°F or below, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, or above 86°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, and users should be aware that preliminary readings may differ from final reported values due to rounding or conversion discrepancies. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. In cases where data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.