TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 30, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 30, 2026?

Volume:
$165,427

96° to 97°

 - Kalshi

96° to 97° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

96° to 97°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,057
N/A
N/A
$25,974
Settled
Yes
kalshi

94° to 95°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,426
N/A
N/A
$29,777
Settled
No
kalshi

92° to 93°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,077
N/A
N/A
$26,458
Settled
No
kalshi

98° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,870
N/A
N/A
$19,300
Settled
No
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,961
N/A
N/A
$13,270
Settled
No
kalshi

89° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,036
N/A
N/A
$10,402
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether Miami will experience specific temperature ranges on a particular day in the future. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting potential climate conditions and variability.

Kalshi

The event determines the resolution of multiple markets based on the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport on July 30, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 89° or below, 90-91°, 92-93°, 94-95°, 96-97°, and 98° or above. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these ranges, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same measurement source and methodology, with the NWS report serving as the definitive record. Traders must recognize that preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences, and only the final NWS report is authoritative. Caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data, as nuances in measurement can affect market outcomes.