TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 28, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 28, 2026?

Volume:
$194,363

90° to 91°

 - Kalshi

90° to 91° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

90° to 91°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,780
N/A
N/A
$21,153
Settled
Yes
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$91,942
N/A
N/A
$87,845
Settled
No
kalshi

92° to 93°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,083
N/A
N/A
$16,224
Settled
No
kalshi

94° to 95°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,607
N/A
N/A
$10,988
Settled
No
kalshi

87° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,179
N/A
N/A
$10,467
Settled
No
kalshi

96° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,773
N/A
N/A
$4,283
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether Miami will experience specific temperature ranges on a particular summer day in 2026. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated airport, reflecting potential impacts of climate patterns on local weather conditions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport on July 28, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The temperature must fall within specific numerical ranges defined for each market: below 88°F, 88–89°F, 90–91°F, 92–93°F, 94–95°F, or above 95°F. While preliminary or third-party weather sources may offer guidance, they are not authoritative—only the NWS report determines the final outcome. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances in preliminary reports, necessitating careful interpretation before the official report is published.