TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 23, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 23, 2026?

Volume:
$151,050

92° to 93°

 - Kalshi

92° to 93° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

92° to 93°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,488
N/A
N/A
$17,696
Settled
Yes
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,330
N/A
N/A
$27,958
Settled
No
kalshi

94° to 95°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,698
N/A
N/A
$17,114
Settled
No
kalshi

87° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,619
N/A
N/A
$11,962
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,369
N/A
N/A
$17,118
Settled
No
kalshi

96° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,547
N/A
N/A
$6,366
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether Miami will experience specific temperature ranges on a particular summer day in 2026. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated airport, reflecting potential heat conditions during that period.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport on July 23, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that resolves to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within that range. The temperature categories range from 87° Fahrenheit or below to 96° Fahrenheit or above, with intermediate brackets covering 88-89°, 90-91°, 92-93°, and 94-95°. All markets share the same verification source and methodology: the NWS report is the sole authority, and traders must acknowledge that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies. No alternative weather sources, such as AccuWeather or public weather platforms, determine the result, regardless of apparent consistency with the official report. The final market resolution will exclusively reflect the exact temperature value published in the NWS document after the event date.