TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Miami will experience specific temperature ranges on a particular summer day in 2026. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated airport, reflecting potential heat conditions during that period.
The event determines the outcome based on the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport on July 23, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that resolves to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within that range. The temperature categories range from 87° Fahrenheit or below to 96° Fahrenheit or above, with intermediate brackets covering 88-89°, 90-91°, 92-93°, and 94-95°. All markets share the same verification source and methodology: the NWS report is the sole authority, and traders must acknowledge that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies. No alternative weather sources, such as AccuWeather or public weather platforms, determine the result, regardless of apparent consistency with the official report. The final market resolution will exclusively reflect the exact temperature value published in the NWS document after the event date.