TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 9, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 9, 2026?

Volume:
$57,749

91° to 92°

 - Kalshi

91° to 92° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

91° to 92°

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,115
N/A
N/A
$14,701
Settled
Yes
kalshi

93° to 94°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,352
N/A
N/A
$8,071
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,241
N/A
N/A
$6,794
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,607
N/A
N/A
$2,525
Settled
No
kalshi

95° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,859
N/A
N/A
$1,665
Settled
No
kalshi

86° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,576
N/A
N/A
$1,568
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate conditions and potential impacts on local activities and infrastructure based on historical weather patterns and forecasts.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport on August 9, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the temperature falls within any of these ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes. The NWS report is the sole authority for resolution, and traders must be aware that preliminary data may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances. All secondary rules emphasize the importance of relying exclusively on the official NWS report rather than third-party weather services for accurate determination.