TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the peak temperature in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate expectations and potential impacts of heat conditions for planning or speculative purposes.
The event determines whether the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport on August 5, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), falls within any of several defined temperature ranges. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature band, with the final outcome resolved exclusively by the NWS data to ensure consistency and reliability. All markets share identical secondary rules emphasizing that preliminary or third-party weather data should not be used for resolution decisions, as official NWS reporting—potentially subject to rounding or conversion nuances—remains the sole authoritative source. Traders must therefore base their assessments on the authoritative NWS report, exercising caution with interim data that may diverge from the final certified figures.