TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$134,069

92° to 93°

 - Kalshi

92° to 93° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

92° to 93°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$46,681
N/A
N/A
$19,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,796
N/A
N/A
$25,814
Settled
No
kalshi

94° to 95°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,397
N/A
N/A
$11,098
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,941
N/A
N/A
$15,187
Settled
No
kalshi

96° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,215
N/A
N/A
$4,198
Settled
No
kalshi

87° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,038
N/A
N/A
$5,021
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. It divides possible temperature outcomes into distinct ranges, each representing a different market resolution condition.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport on August 3, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these specified ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes. All markets use the same official data source and measurement methodology, with the understanding that preliminary reports may contain rounding or conversion nuances that could affect final interpretation. Traders must rely solely on the authoritative NWS report for resolution, as alternative weather services may provide inconsistent data.