TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 18, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 18, 2026?

Volume:
$193,092

99° to 100°

 - Kalshi

99° to 100° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

99° to 100°

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,309
N/A
N/A
$18,347
Settled
Yes
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$66,292
N/A
N/A
$46,660
Settled
No
kalshi

101° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,914
N/A
N/A
$22,404
Settled
No
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,043
N/A
N/A
$18,317
Settled
No
kalshi

93° to 94°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,502
N/A
N/A
$14,452
Settled
No
kalshi

92° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,032
N/A
N/A
$7,969
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the maximum temperature in Miami on a specific future date, categorizing outcomes based on different temperature ranges. Participants can assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict how hot it might get. The resolution depends on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on August 18, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the temperature falls within a given range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one market will resolve to Yes. While other weather sources may offer similar data, The Weather Company’s report is the sole authority for determining the final outcome. This structure allows participants to evaluate probabilistic forecasts and historical climate patterns for Miami in late summer.