TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the maximum temperature in Miami on a specific future date, categorizing outcomes based on different temperature ranges. Participants can assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict how hot it might get. The resolution depends on official weather data from a designated source.
The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on August 18, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the temperature falls within a given range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one market will resolve to Yes. While other weather sources may offer similar data, The Weather Company’s report is the sole authority for determining the final outcome. This structure allows participants to evaluate probabilistic forecasts and historical climate patterns for Miami in late summer.