TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 16, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 16, 2026?

Volume:
$139,981

93° to 94°

 - Kalshi

93° to 94° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 17, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

93° to 94°

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$48,620
N/A
N/A
$30,285
Settled
Yes
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,052
N/A
N/A
$27,104
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,664
N/A
N/A
$20,865
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,453
N/A
N/A
$8,962
Settled
No
kalshi

97° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,829
N/A
N/A
$6,332
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,363
N/A
N/A
$1,363
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Miami on a specific date in the future, categorizing outcomes based on different temperature ranges. Participants can speculate on whether conditions will fall within certain thresholds, reflecting expectations about climate conditions on that day. The resolution depends on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the maximum temperature recorded in Miami (CLIMIA) on August 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market resolution. If the temperature falls within any of the specified ranges—from 88°F or below up to 97°F or above—the respective market resolves to Yes. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring that exactly one will resolve positively based on the actual temperature recorded. The Weather Company serves as the sole authoritative source for temperature data, and its reported maximum temperature for that date will be used to determine the final outcome, overriding any conflicting data from other weather services. Participants should rely on this official source for resolution, as discrepancies between different weather services will not affect the result.