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Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 11?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 11?

Volume:
$45,995

26°C

 - Polymarket

26°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

26°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,486
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,932
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$824
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$473
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders and reflect aggregate expectations, while traditional analyst forecasts come from meteorological models and expert analysis. Prediction markets often incorporate broader information signals and incentivize accuracy through financial stakes. For Mexico City's June 11 temperature, comparing market-implied probabilities to official weather service forecasts and seasonal climate models can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic scenarios than institutional forecasters, highlighting areas of consensus or divergence.

The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the highest temperature recorded in Mexico City on June 11, measured according to the official data source specified in the market contract. Once the event occurs and the final temperature is confirmed, the outcome is locked in and winning shares are paid out accordingly. Traders should review the exact resolution criteria in the market details to understand which weather station or official source will be used to determine the definitive temperature reading.

Several factors could shift market odds before June 11. Updated weather forecasts from meteorological agencies, seasonal climate patterns, and atmospheric pressure systems will influence trader expectations. Major weather events—such as tropical systems, high-altitude wind patterns, or unusual heat waves affecting Mexico—could trigger significant repricing. Additionally, historical temperature data for that date and time of year, combined with real-time atmospheric monitoring closer to the event, will provide new information that traders incorporate into their positions, causing odds to move as conviction changes.