TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Highest temperature in Manila on June 3?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Manila on June 3?

Volume:
$17,173

31°C or higher

 - Polymarket

31°C or higher - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

31°C or higher

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,078
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money bets from traders and may differ from traditional meteorological forecasts issued by weather agencies or climate analysts. While meteorologists rely on atmospheric models and historical data, prediction markets incorporate trader sentiment and incentives to be accurate. Comparing Polymarket odds to published forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) or international weather services can reveal where market participants expect conditions to diverge from baseline predictions.

The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual highest temperature recorded in Manila on June 3, which will be compared against the outcome criteria specified in the contract. Official meteorological data from recognized weather authorities will be used to settle the market. Traders should monitor the exact resolution rules in the contract terms to understand which temperature measurement source and time window apply.

Several factors could shift market odds before June 3. Seasonal weather pattern updates, tropical storm or monsoon forecasts affecting the Philippines, and historical temperature anomalies for early June in Manila may influence trader expectations. Real-time meteorological reports, changes in atmospheric pressure systems, and updates from PAGASA or international weather models could trigger repricing. Additionally, any unusual climate events or heat waves in the region during late May could signal conditions favoring higher or lower temperatures on the resolution date.