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Highest temperature in Manila on June 13?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Manila on June 13?

Volume:
$24,896

34°C

 - Polymarket

34°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

34°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,556
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$304
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Highest temperature in Manila on June 13 dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and price movements for this weather event. You can monitor the current implied probability of different temperature outcomes, historical price charts, and trading volume over the past 24 hours at $21,464. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the market's collective forecast for Manila's peak temperature on that specific date. This live data helps you understand how prediction market participants are pricing the likelihood of various temperature ranges.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Manila on June 13 is priced through outcome shares that traders buy and sell. Each temperature bracket or outcome has a price reflecting its implied probability; higher prices indicate stronger market belief in that outcome. Traders profit by correctly predicting which temperature range will occur. The market price adjusts continuously based on order flow and new information about weather patterns, seasonal trends, and atmospheric conditions leading up to June 13. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at fair prices.

The market resolves on Jun 13, 2026, after the highest temperature in Manila on June 13 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data from a designated weather authority or data provider for Manila on that date. The outcome is determined by the peak temperature reading captured during the specified time window on June 13. Once the official figure is confirmed, the market settles and winning shares are paid out according to which outcome bracket or range the actual temperature falls into.

Several factors could shift odds for Manila's highest temperature on June 13. Seasonal weather patterns and monsoon activity in the Philippines during June are primary drivers. Tropical storm formation or unusual atmospheric pressure systems could cool or heat the region unexpectedly. Long-range climate forecasts and El Niño or La Niña conditions influence regional temperature trends. Urban heat island effects and local pollution levels also play a role. As June 13 approaches, updated meteorological models and real-time weather data will refine market expectations, causing traders to adjust positions and move prices based on the latest atmospheric intelligence.