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Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?

Volume:
$29,236

33°C

 - Polymarket

33°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

33°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,583
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,436
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature recorded in Manila on June 11 on Polymarket. It displays the current implied probability of each temperature outcome, 24-hour volume of $19,982, and historical price movements. You can monitor how market participants are pricing different temperature ranges as the event date approaches, giving you a live view of crowd expectations for weather conditions in Manila on that specific day.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs about Manila's peak temperature on June 11, often incorporating meteorological data and seasonal patterns. Analyst forecasts from weather services typically rely on atmospheric models and historical climate data. Markets may diverge from official forecasts if traders believe conditions will be unusual or if new weather systems develop. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is pricing in more or less extreme temperatures than professional meteorologists expect for that date.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Manila on June 11 is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares representing different temperature outcomes. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 reflecting its implied probability. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether the actual high temperature will fall within their chosen range. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily prices can move, and the market remains active until resolution on Jun 11, 2026.

The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after the highest temperature in Manila on June 11 has been recorded. The outcome is determined by the official temperature reading from a designated weather source for that date. Once the final high temperature is confirmed, the market settles to the corresponding outcome, and traders holding winning shares receive their payout based on the resolution price.

Weather pattern shifts, tropical storm development, or monsoon intensity changes could significantly impact Manila's temperature on June 11. Updated meteorological forecasts and seasonal climate anomalies may alter trader expectations. Real-time weather alerts and atmospheric pressure systems approaching the Philippines could trigger market repricing. Additionally, historical temperature records for early June and any unusual heat waves in the region may influence how traders position themselves as the event date approaches.