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Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 7?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 7?

Volume:
$36,776

40°C

 - Polymarket

40°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 7, 2026

Closed: Jun 7, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

40°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

42°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

41°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,969
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

43°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

44°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations and often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts issued by India Meteorological Department or weather analytics firms. While meteorologists rely on atmospheric models and historical climate data, prediction markets incorporate real-time information, trader expertise, and financial incentives for accuracy. Comparing Polymarket odds to published analyst temperature ranges for Lucknow on June 7 can reveal whether markets are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic scenarios. Discrepancies may signal either market inefficiency or emerging weather intelligence not yet reflected in official forecasts.

The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, after the highest temperature in Lucknow on June 7 has been recorded and verified. The outcome is determined by official meteorological data for that date. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive payouts, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution process ensures that all trades settle fairly based on actual observed conditions in Lucknow. Participants should monitor official weather station reports and India Meteorological Department announcements as the event date approaches to understand how the final temperature will be measured and confirmed.

Several factors could shift market odds for Lucknow's highest temperature on June 7. Seasonal weather pattern updates from meteorological agencies, monsoon onset timing, and atmospheric pressure systems developing over northern India will influence trader expectations. Real-time weather alerts, heat wave warnings, or unusual climate anomalies reported closer to the date may trigger rapid repricing. Historical temperature data for early June in Lucknow and broader climate trends across Uttar Pradesh could also move the market. As June 7 approaches, updated 10-day forecasts and satellite imagery will become increasingly relevant, potentially causing sharp shifts in trading activity and odds on Polymarket.