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Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 5?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 5?

Volume:
$25,146

38°C or below

 - Polymarket

38°C or below - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

38°C or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

43°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

41°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

46°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,825
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

42°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

44°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

45°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

47°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

48°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Lucknow on June 5 is priced as a binary outcome: traders bet on whether the maximum temperature will be 48°C or higher. The current odds reflect the probability traders assign to this threshold being met. Price discovery happens through continuous order-book matching, with each new trade updating the implied probability. Volume and liquidity on this specific outcome determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions as June 5 approaches.

The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, after the highest temperature recorded in Lucknow on June 5 is finalized. Resolution depends on official temperature data for that date. Traders should monitor weather station readings and meteorological authority reports as the event date nears. The specific threshold or temperature range that determines the winning outcome will be confirmed by the market's resolution criteria at settlement.

Several factors could shift odds before June 5. Seasonal weather pattern updates from meteorological agencies, monsoon onset timing, and atmospheric pressure systems affecting northern India may influence trader expectations. Real-time forecasts issued in the days leading up to June 5 will likely trigger significant price moves. Additionally, historical temperature anomalies, urban heat island effects specific to Lucknow, and any unusual climate events reported in late May could prompt traders to reassess the probability of extreme heat on the resolution date.