TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Prediction market odds reflect crowdsourced expectations from traders with real money at stake, whereas traditional analyst forecasts rely on meteorological models and historical climate data. This market aggregates dispersed knowledge from many participants, often capturing emerging signals faster than static forecasts. Comparing the odds here to published weather predictions from India's meteorological department or regional climate analysts can reveal where the crowd expects conditions to diverge from baseline models—useful context for understanding market sentiment around June 30's temperature in Lucknow.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once June 30 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Lucknow can be verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the actual peak temperature for that day. Once the event is finalized and the winning outcome is clear, traders holding shares in the correct temperature range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Weather forecasts updated closer to June 30 will likely shift odds as meteorologists refine their models. Seasonal climate patterns, monsoon intensity, and any unusual atmospheric conditions reported in northern India could trigger repricing. Real-time temperature readings from nearby weather stations in the days leading up to June 30 may also influence trader positioning. Major weather events or anomalies in late June could cause sharp moves as participants reassess the probability of extreme or moderate temperature outcomes.