TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 30?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 30?

Volume:
$81,546

32°C

 - Polymarket

32°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

32°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

31°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,095
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C or higher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$974
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$936
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Lucknow temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for predictions about the highest temperature recorded in Lucknow on June 30. Traders buy and sell shares based on their forecasts of whether the peak temperature will fall within specific ranges or hit exact thresholds. The dashboard displays current market odds, 24-hour trading volume, and outcome probabilities, giving you a live snapshot of how the crowd is pricing different temperature scenarios for this event.

Prediction market odds reflect crowdsourced expectations from traders with real money at stake, whereas traditional analyst forecasts rely on meteorological models and historical climate data. This market aggregates dispersed knowledge from many participants, often capturing emerging signals faster than static forecasts. Comparing the odds here to published weather predictions from India's meteorological department or regional climate analysts can reveal where the crowd expects conditions to diverge from baseline models—useful context for understanding market sentiment around June 30's temperature in Lucknow.

This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once June 30 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Lucknow can be verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the actual peak temperature for that day. Once the event is finalized and the winning outcome is clear, traders holding shares in the correct temperature range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.

Weather forecasts updated closer to June 30 will likely shift odds as meteorologists refine their models. Seasonal climate patterns, monsoon intensity, and any unusual atmospheric conditions reported in northern India could trigger repricing. Real-time temperature readings from nearby weather stations in the days leading up to June 30 may also influence trader positioning. Major weather events or anomalies in late June could cause sharp moves as participants reassess the probability of extreme or moderate temperature outcomes.