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Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 26?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 26?

Volume:
$102,457

41°C

 - Polymarket

41°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

41°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

40°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

47°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,366
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

42°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

46°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

43°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

45°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

44°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,879
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Lucknow temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Lucknow on June 26. The display shows current market prices, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $56,128, reflecting how traders are positioning around whether the peak temperature will reach specific thresholds. Total liquidity across this market stands at $102,457, giving traders a sense of market depth and confidence in the outcome.

Prediction market odds distill collective trader expectations into a single probability, whereas meteorological forecasts rely on numerical weather models and expert interpretation. This market aggregates real-time bets on whether the highest temperature will hit a particular level, offering a crowd-sourced view that often incorporates recent data shifts faster than traditional forecasts update. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more or less risk than official weather services project for that day.

This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the event has occurred and the highest temperature in Lucknow for that day can be verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the actual recorded peak temperature to the threshold specified in the market contract. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout once the result is confirmed and finalized on the platform.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated monsoon forecasts, or anomalous heat waves could significantly move this market. Real-time meteorological model updates, particularly from India's weather service, often trigger repricing as traders adjust their temperature expectations. Seasonal climate data, historical temperature records for late June in Lucknow, and any unusual atmospheric conditions reported in the region will influence trader positioning and odds right up until the market closes on the event date.